Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 1.635320 1.906232 2.187824 2.500801 2.837440 3.187264 3.576914
2024-12-15 1.177274 1.546458 1.953910 2.430209 2.965511 3.543059 4.208033
2024-12-22 0.934336 1.345738 1.820318 2.394597 3.058534 3.791508 4.651966
2024-12-29 0.782191 1.228055 1.763334 2.430416 3.219618 4.106738 5.163675
2025-01-05 0.653815 1.118846 1.699042 2.441847 3.338632 4.362335 5.597148
2025-01-12 0.528966 0.996945 1.605598 2.406651 3.393321 4.536426 5.931369
2025-01-19 0.486382 0.980282 1.640846 2.525788 3.629482 4.919764 6.505319
2025-01-26 0.452040 0.970243 1.681233 2.648787 3.868610 5.305655 7.081940
2025-02-02 0.427122 0.970414 1.732808 2.784346 4.122126 5.708207 7.678173
2025-02-09 0.411526 0.982359 1.798902 2.937738 4.397343 6.136786 8.305578
2025-02-16 0.377491 0.960979 1.816216 3.025592 4.589654 6.465177 8.814452
2025-02-23 0.328800 0.909597 1.787333 3.049497 4.699463 6.692477 9.202374
2025-03-02 0.253468 0.805573 1.681718 2.974181 4.690904 6.786722 9.446600
2025-03-09 0.189437 0.709111 1.579753 2.898876 4.679521 6.876424 9.685782
2025-03-16 0.144293 0.637699 1.508055 2.858670 4.707542 7.009188 9.971274
2025-03-23 0.119926 0.605016 1.494475 2.898528 4.839404 7.270517 10.412773
2025-03-30 0.094921 0.563945 1.463604 2.911037 4.933264 7.483111 10.794056
2025-04-06 0.067454 0.506371 1.399953 2.872219 4.955960 7.604354 11.062160
2025-04-13 0.063791 0.515443 1.451288 3.003638 5.208677 8.017397 11.690044
2025-04-20 0.060845 0.526029 1.505196 3.139069 5.467225 8.438423 12.328582
2025-04-27 0.059515 0.541516 1.567922 3.288028 5.744650 8.884105 12.998408
2025-05-04 0.060214 0.563829 1.643160 3.456242 6.048867 9.364607 13.712142
2025-05-11 0.053788 0.560191 1.670901 3.552432 6.254765 9.719915 14.271474